Subscribing keeps it current: new dates and changes arrive automatically. 90 entries have a confirmed date and appear on that single day. 328 are guided only to a month or quarter, so they span that whole window and are prefixed with ~. We do not place an estimate on a specific day, because in a calendar app a guess looks exactly like a confirmed FDA date.
Run-up context, measured from a uniform T-120 baseline. Across 1,829 FDA decisions since 2020, the median peak gain from 120 trading days out was
17.7%, while the median move from T-120 to the day before the decision was
1.8%. The gap between those two numbers is the point: most of the move happens before the decision and is usually given back. 96% of events have a full T-120 window; the rest are excluded rather than back-filled.
Full study. Past behaviour, not a forecast, and not investment advice.